Fluctuation regimes of soil moisture in ERA-40 re-analysis data

Wang, Guojie , Dolman, Albertus Johannes , Blender, Richard , Fraedrich, Klaus

2010-01-01 THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 2010   99(卷), 46024(期), (1-8页)

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Soil moisture variability is analysed in the re-analysis data ERA-40 of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) which includes four layers within 189 cm depth. Short-term correlations are characterised by an e-folding time scale assuming an exponential decay, whilst long-term memory is described by power law decays with exponents determined by detrended fluctuation analysis. On a global scale, the short-term variability varies congruently with long-term memory in the surface layer. Key climatic regions (Europe, Amazon and Sahara) reveal that soil moisture time series are non-stationary in arid regions and in deep layers within the time horizon of ERA-40. The physical processes leading to soil moisture variability are linear according to an analysis of volatility (the absolute differences), which is substantiated by surrogate data analysis preserving the long-term memory.

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