Khoshsima, Masoud , Sabetghadam, Samaneh
2026-01-01 ATMOSPHERIC ENVIRONMENT-X 2026 29(卷), null(期), (null页)
This study investigates the spatiotemporal variability of aerosol optical depth (AOD) across Southwest Asia in response to emission reductions and natural sources during the 2020 COVID-19 lockdown. MODIS Terra Collection 6 AOD products and MERRA-2 reanalysis data for surface pollutants were analyzed for the pre-lockdown (January to March) and post-lockdown (April to June) periods and compared with 2001-2019 monthly climatological averages. Climatological AOD values ranged from below 0.2 in northern mountainous regions to above 0.8 over major dust hotspots, including Iraq, eastern Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates. During the post-lockdown period, AOD decreased markedly over major urban centers, Tehran (-31%), Riyadh (-23%), and Baghdad (-28%), accompanied by declines in PM2.5, reflecting reduced anthropogenic emissions from transport and industry. Conversely, persistently high AOD (> 0.6) over dust-dominated deserts and localized increases near the northern Caspian Sea indicate the continuing influence of natural dust activity and enhanced residential heating. Interannual comparisons further highlight the role of meteorological variability, including wind patterns and dust storm frequency, in modulating AOD across the region. These findings provide the first region-wide, satellite-based assessment of the relative contributions of anthropogenic and natural sources to AOD during the pandemic. They demonstrate that short-term emission reductions can improve urban air quality, but natural dust emissions and localized energy-use behaviors can offset these gains. The study highlights the heterogeneous response of aerosols to human activity in arid and semi-arid environments and underscores the need for integrated satellite, ground-based, and modeling approaches to quantify the drivers of regional atmospheric turbidity.