2025-12-12 REMOTE SENSING 2025 17(卷), 24(期), (null页)
Highlights What are the main findings? Based on GRACE-derived groundwater storage anomaly data, the Anderson-Darling test revealed that the Pearson III distribution function provides the best fit for calculating the standardized groundwater index (GRACE_SGI) across different time scales, significantly improving accuracy. Cross-correlation analysis between the GRACE_SGI and the standardized precipitation index (SPI) demonstrated a notable time lag effect, with lag times of up to 12 months being observed at longer time scales, indicating a delayed response of groundwater levels to precipitation changes. What are the implications of the main findings? The identification of the optimal probability density function for GRACE_SGI calculation enhances the reliability of groundwater drought monitoring, particularly in data-scarce regions, providing a robust scientific foundation for quantitative assessments. Understanding the time lag effect between precipitation and groundwater recharge aids in more accurately predicting groundwater drought events, facilitating proactive water resource management and drought preparedness strategies.Highlights What are the main findings? Based on GRACE-derived groundwater storage anomaly data, the Anderson-Darling test revealed that the Pearson III distribution function provides the best fit for calculating the standardized groundwater index (GRACE_SGI) across different time scales, significantly improving accuracy. Cross-correlation analysis between the GRACE_SGI and the standardized precipitation index (SPI) demonstrated a notable time lag effect, with lag times of up to 12 months being observed at longer time scales, indicating a delayed response of groundwater levels to precipitation changes. What are the implications of the main findings? The identification of the optimal probability density function for GRACE_SGI calculation enhances the reliability of groundwater drought monitoring, particularly in data-scarce regions, providing a robust scientific foundation for quantitative assessments. Understanding the time lag effect between precipitation and groundwater recharge aids in more accurately predicting groundwater drought events, facilitating proactive water resource management and drought preparedness strategies.Abstract The increasingly severe phenomenon of groundwater drought poses a dual threat to the development and construction of a region, as well as its ecological environment. Traditional groundwater drought monitoring methods rely on observation wells, which makes it difficult to obtain dynamic drought information in areas with limited measurement data. Based on Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellite technology and data, the suitability of the standardized groundwater index (GRACE_SGI) was explored for drought characterization in the Mu Us Sandy Land. Multiscale and seasonal trend changes in groundwater drought in the study area from 2002 to 2021 were comprehensively identified. Subsequently, the characteristics of hysteresis time between the GRACE_SGI and the standardized precipitation index (SPI) were clarified. The results show that (1) different fitting functions impact the parameterized GRACE_SGI fitting results. The Anderson-Darling method was used to find the best-fitting function for groundwater data in the study area: the Pearson III distribution. (2) The gain and loss characteristics of the GRACE_SGI are similar, showing downward trends at different time scales, including seasonal scales. (3) The absolute values based on the maximum correlation coefficients between the SPI and the GRACE_SGI at different time scales were 0.1296, 0.2483, 0.2427, and 0.5224, with time lags of 0, 0, 12, and 11 months, respectively. The vulnerability of semiarid ecosystems to hydroclimatic changes is highlighted by these findings, and a satellite-based framework for monitoring groundwater drought in data-scarce regions is provided.