2025-10-15 JOURNAL OF SOUTH AMERICAN EARTH SCIENCES 2025 165(卷), null(期), (null页)
Desertification is a global and concerning phenomenon resulting from the interplay of climatic factors, inadequate human activities, and unsustainable use of natural resources. Its historical roots are linked to intensive agriculture, deforestation, and land-use changes, making the development of mathematical models crucial to sustainably identify and manage these areas. These models incorporate variables such as climatic patterns, land use, and degradation indicators, enabling an accurate assessment of the risk and extent of desertification in specific regions. The objective of this study was to evaluate the effectiveness of the RisDes_Index model in identifying areas affected by desertification and assessing the severity of environmental degradation. The model was developed based on orbital information and in situ data collected from Caatinga environments, wetlands, and areas undergoing desertification. The study was conducted in the Sertao Central region of Brazil, covering the municipalities of Floresta, Cabrobo