Jiang, Jie , Qin, Yaochen , Liu, Gangjun , Li, Yang , Xia, Haoming
2026-01-01 GLOBAL AND PLANETARY CHANGE 2026 256(卷), null(期), (null页)
The 400 mm isohyet matters in climate and ecology. Its fluctuations impact agriculture, water, ecology and economy. Past studies on precipitation have focused on precipitation or drought indices, neglecting 400 mm isohyet fluctuations. This paper defines its global fluctuation range, creates the Precipitation Line Fluctuation Intensity (PFI) Index, detects spatio-temporal migrations in typical regions, and explores regional differences and drivers to assess climate change. Results show PFI400 exhibits significant spatial heterogeneity, with the strongest fluctuations observed in Australia and the weakest in western South America. The Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and topography are identified as the primary factors influencing these fluctuations, with PDO being the most widely affecting dynamic factor, especially on short-term scales. The study reveals that regions with strong fluctuations are often influenced by the coupled effects of multiple factors, such as temperature, wind speed, and atmospheric circulation. Moreover, the 400 mm isohyet is migrating rapidly toward higher values in western North America and northern Africa, potentially increasing drought risks. These findings underscore the complexity of precipitation line fluctuations, enhancing the theoretical framework for precipitation variability and offering critical insights for water resource management and climate adaptation in arid, semi-arid, agricultural, and pastoral regions under climate change.