Szcodronski, Kimberly E. , Wade, Alisa A. , Burton, Sarah E. , Hossack, Blake R.
2024-08-01 CONSERVATION SCIENCE AND PRACTICE 2024 6(卷), 8(期), (null页)
Identifying areas expected to remain buffered from climate change and maintain biodiversity and ecological function (i.e., climate refugia) is important for climate adaptation planning. As structurally diverse transitional zones between terrestrial and aquatic environments, riparian areas are often biological hotspots and provide critical corridors for species movement, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. In our study region in the western and central USA, identifying riparian areas that could serve as climate refugia is a priority for wildlife managers. We mapped areas with connected riparian habitats that, based on landscape diversity and projected changes in summer temperatures and landscape runoff, are expected to serve as climate refugia. To incorporate uncertainty and balance the need for near- and long-term planning, we mapped potential refugia for 2 future time periods (2040-2069, 2070-2099) based on 2 climate models that represented divergent but plausible climate outcomes. The approach we developed is not constrained by physiology or behavior of target species and can be used to identify areas expected to fare comparatively well under a wide range of future climate scenarios. Our approach can also be used to identify areas where restoration could increase riparian connectedness and climate resilience. Identifying areas expected to remain buffered from climate change (climate refugia) is important for adaptation planning. As structurally diverse zones between terrestrial and aquatic environments, riparian areas are critical for maintaining biological diversity. We identified riparian areas in the western USA expected to serve as climate refugia under a wide range of climate scenarios. Our approach is not constrained by physiology or behavior of target species and can help identify areas where restoration could increase riparian connectedness and climate resilience. image