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Predictive value of machine learning for breast cancer recurrence: A systematic review and meta-analysis
Purpose: Recurrence of breast cancer leads to a high lifetime risk and a low 5 year survival rate. Researchers have used machine learning to predict the risk of recurrence in patients with breast cancer, but the predictive performance of machine learning remains controversial. Hence, this study aimed to explore the accuracy of machine learning in predicting breast cancer recurrence risk and aggregate predictive variables to provide guidance for the development of subsequent risk scoring systems. Methods: We searched Pubmed, EMBASE, Cochrane, and Web of Science. The risk of bias in the included studies was evaluated using prediction model risk of bias assessment tool (PROBAST). Meta-regression was adopted to explore whether there was a significant difference in the recurrence time by machine learning. Results: Thirty-four studies involving 67,560 subjects were included, among whom 8695 experienced breast cancer recurrence. The c-index of prediction models was 0.814 (95%CI 0.802-0.826) and 0.770 (95%CI 0.737-0.803) in the training and validation sets, respectively; the sensitivity and specificity were 0.69 (95% CI 0.64-0.74), 0.89 (95% CI 0.86-0.92) in the training, and 0.64 (95% CI 0.58-0.70), 0.88 (95% CI 0.82-0.92) in the validation, respectively. Age, histological grading, and lymph node status are the most commonly used variables in model construction. Attention should be paid to unhealthy lifestyles such as drinking, smoking and BMI as modeling variables. Risk prediction models based on machine learning have long-term monitoring value for breast cancer population, and subsequent studies should consider using large-sample and multi-center data to establish risk equations for verification. Conclusion: Machine learning may be used as a predictive tool for breast cancer recurrence. Currently, there is a lack of effective and universally applicable machine learning models in clinical practice. We expect to incorporate multi-center studies in the future and attempt to develop tools for predicting breast cancer recurrence risk, so as to effectively identify populations at high risk of recurrence and develop personalized follow-up strategies and prognostic interventions to reduce the risk of recurrence.
研究证据
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Prevalence of Developmental Dyslexia in Primary School Children: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis.
Background: Developmental dyslexia (DD) is a specific learning disorder concerning reading acquisition that may has a lifelong negative impact on individuals. A reliable estimate of the prevalence of DD serves as the basis for diagnosis, intervention, and evidence-based health resource allocation and policy-making. Hence, the present meta-analysis aims to generate a reliable prevalence estimate of DD worldwide in primary school children and explore the potential variables related to that prevalence. Methods: Studies from the 1950s to June 2021 were collated using a combination of search terms related to DD and prevalence. Study quality was assessed using the STROBE guidelines according to the study design, with study heterogeneity assessed using the I2 statistic, and random-effects meta-analyses were conducted. Variations in the prevalence of DD in different subgroups were assessed via subgroup meta-analysis and meta-regression. Results: The pooled prevalence of DD was 7.10% (95% CI: 6.27-7.97%). The prevalence in boys was significantly higher than that in girls (boys: 9.22%, 95%CI, 8.07-10.44%; girls: 4.66%, 95% CI, 3.84-5.54%; p 0.05) or across different orthographic depths (shallow: 7.13%, 95% CI, 5.23-9.30%; deep: 7.55%, 95% CI, 4.66-11.04%; p > 0.05). It is worth noting that most articles had small sample sizes with diverse operational definitions, making comparisons challenging. Conclusions: This study provides an estimation of worldwide DD prevalence in primary school children. The prevalence was higher in boys than in girls but was not significantly different across different writing systems.
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Clinical Epidemiology in China series. Paper 1: Evidence-based medicine in China: An oral history study
Objective: To describe and record the evolution of EBM in China. Study Design and Setting: We conducted the study following the general methodology of oral history. The interviews were done at Lanzhou University, between 18th and 22 nd April 2019 using pre-defined questions. All interviews were videorecorded. Two investigators extracted and analyzed the information from the interviews independently. Results: One international expert and ten Chinese experts participated in the interviews. After the introduction of EBM in China in the mid-1990s, more than 20 EBM centres have been established. According to the interviewees, Gordon Guyatt, David Sackett and lain Chalmers are the international experts who played the most important role in the development of EBM in China. China has contributed to EBM on the international level by conducting systematic reviews, developing reporting checklists, and introducing the principles of EBM into Traditional Medicine. The Chinese Cochrane Centre and the EBM Centre of Lanzhou University were ranked the top two EBM Centres in China by the interviewees. Conclusion: EBM has been developing in China for nearly a quarter of a century. Many achievements have been reached, however, EBM is still facing many challenges in China, including shortages of funding support and personnel, as well as limited local high-quality evidence. (C) 2021 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
期刊论文
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Acupoint injection treatment for primary osteoporosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
Background: Acupoint injection has currently received increasing attention as a treatment for primary osteoporosis (POP), This study aimed to evaluate the efficacy and safety of acupoint injection as a clinical treatment for POP. Methods: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of acupoint injection compared with conventional non-acupoint injection for POP were identified in searches of seven databases from their inception to March 2019. All data were assessed and extracted by two authors independently. The risk of bias assessment recommended by the Cochrane Collaboration was used to assess the quality of the selected studies. RevMan 5.3 was used to conduct meta-analysis for the efficacy and safety of acupoint injection. Results: Five trials with 337 patients (aged 45–86 years) with bone mineral density (BMD) ≤2 SD were included in our meta-analysis. The results showed that, compared with conventional intramuscular injection, acupoint injection significantly increased the BMD [mean difference (MD) =0.02; 95% CI, 0.01 to 0.03, P0.05). Individuals results showed that acupoint injection improved biochemical indicators, such as NBAP, IGF-I and reduced CTX and leptin levels. While the risk of bias was high in all five trials. Conclusions: This meta-analysis and systematic review suggests that acupoint injection improves BMD and some biochemical indicators in POP patients compared with the effects of conventional intramuscular injection. However, due to the high risk of bias in all the trials reviewed, the evidence remains inconclusive and future research will be required with improved methodological quality.
期刊论文
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CONSORT extension for reporting N-of-1 trials for traditional Chinese medicine (CENT for TCM) : Recommendations, explanation and elaboration
Background: N-of-1 trial is a desired and appropriate approach to assessing the efficacy and safety of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) interventions. There have been an increasing number of N-of-1 trials for TCM published. However, a lack of preferred reporting guidance led in the general poor reporting quality of these trials. Due to the unique characteristics of TCM, the working group developed this CONSORT Extension for reporting N-of-1 Trials for Traditional Chinese Medicine (CENT for TCM) to assist TCM researchers in reporting N-of-1 trials for TCM. Methods: We registered CENT for TCM at the EQUATOR (Enhancing the QUAlity and Transparency Of health Research) Network (available at equator-network.org). The development was a comprehensive process through collection of the initial reporting items, two-round scientific Delphi consensus survey with 17 panelists, revision and formation of the final reporting checklist. Results: The checklist includes 25 items within six domains, eight items in which were extended and elaborated on the items of the CENT 2015 checklist. Explanation of the items were listed adequately considering the nature of TCM, introducing the concept of TCM syndrome differentiation and TCM interventions. Conclusions: CENT for TCM can be used to assess the completeness of the reporting of N-of-1 trials for TCM. The working group expect that CENT for TCM could be a practical tool to enhance the comprehensiveness and transparency of the design, implementation and reporting of N-of-1 trials for TCM.
期刊论文
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The influence of inpatient comprehensive geriatric care on elderly patients with hip fractures: A meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the efficacy of in-patient comprehensive geriatric care for elderly patients with hip fracture. METHODS: Relevant literatures were searched using the following databases including PubMed, OVID, Web of science, Scopus, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trails until August 1, 2015. Eligible studies were restricted to randomized controlled trials (RCTs). The available data was extracted by two independent authors and pooled through using Review manager version 5.2. For data deemed not appropriate for synthesis, a narrative overview was conducted. RESULTS: 15 trials evaluating 3458 participants were identified in our meta-analysis. Our findings indicated patients who underwent comprehensive geriatric cares showed no significant greater improvement than control in in-patient mortality (Odds risk (OR) 0.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.51 to 1.05, P=0.09), 3-(OR 0.96, 95% CI 0.51 to 1.81, P=0.90), 6-(OR 1.03, 95% CI 0.73 to 1.45, P=0.86) and 12-months mortality (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.77 to 1.12, P=0.30). The proportion of patients who were discharged from hospital to the same place of residence as before the fracture was higher in intervention group than control (OR 1.67, 95% CI 0.80 to 3.37, P=0.0003). In addition, the pooled results showed that the number of patients in intervention group who had regained the same level of activities of daily living (ADL) (43.9% vs 30.2%, 46.0% vs 29.1%) and walking ability (71.3% vs 53.2%, 68.9% vs 56.3%) as before the fracture was higher than control at 3 and 12 months after discharge, respectively. CONCLUSION: Comprehensive geriatric care promoted the functional improvement for elderly patients with hip fracture. Meanwhile, the proportion of patients who were discharged from hospital to the same place as before fracture in intervention group was higher as compared to control. However, our finding showed no significant difference on in-patients mortality, follow-up mortality and length of stay between both groups.
研究证据
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Anti-inflammatory Effects of Perioperative Dexmedetomidine Administered as an Adjunct to General Anesthesia: A Meta-analysis
The aim of this meta-analysis is to examine the effects of dexmedetomidine on serum inflammatory markers when administered perioperatively. We searched multiple electronic databases for relevant research papers, and carried out meta-analyses of weighted mean differences and interpreted in the light of statistical heterogeneity (I2). Fifteen RCTs recruiting 641 patients were included. Dexmedetomidine treatment significantly decreased interleukin-6 (IL-6), IL-8 and tumor necrosis factor-alpha (TNF-alpha) levels with mean differences [95% CI] in the changes from baseline between dexmedetomidine treated and controls of -25.14 [-35.29, -15.00]; P < 0.00001 (for IL-6), -5.69 [-10.77, -0.60]; P < 0.04 (for IL-8), and -20.30 [-30.93, -9.67]; P < 0.0002 (for TNF-alpha) immediately after surgery; and -41.55 [-57.41, -25.70]; P < 0.00001 (IL-6), -6.46 [-10.83, -2.08]; P < 0.005 (IL-8), and -14.67 [-22.61, -6.73]; P < 0.0003 (TNF-alpha) on postoperative day 1 (random effects). IL-10 levels were found to increase significantly a day after surgery (8.33 [3.31, 13.36]; P = 0.001). Subgroup analyses did not reveal significant differences. In conclusion, perioperative adjunctive use of dexmedetomidine substantially decreases serum IL-6, IL-8 and TNF-alpha levels
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