Australian Gridded Farm Data (version 1.5)

2025-11-14

Australian Gridded Farm Data report and data files

The Australian Gridded Farm Data (AGFD) are a set of national simulated farm business data produced by ABARES.

The AGFD Version 1.5 contains maps of simulated data on historical and projected farm business outcomes including profitability on an 0.05-degree (approximately 5 km) grid. The maps have been derived using ABARES farmpredict model, which is based on ABARES farm survey data.

The maps do not represent actual observed data – they model predicted outcomes for representative or ‘typical’ farm businesses at each location with assumed climate and commodity prices scenarios.

Key updates included in Version 1.5 of the AGFD include:

  • New climate projection scenarios based on an ensemble of CMIP5 climate projections
  • Extended historical climate scenario covering the period 1950-51 to 2022-23
  • Inclusion of a farm land value layer, based on interpolated farm survey data

The climate projection scenarios adopt the same methodology as previous ABARES analysis. As with previous research, these projections do not account for the offsetting effects of farm adaptation or technological improvement. As such, these results provide estimates of ‘adaptation pressure’: identifying which farm locations are likely to be under pressure to adapt to climate change.

Previous versions

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