Yuan, Haidong , Wang, Kai , Li, Yanzhen , Zhu, Sijia
2026-03-28 FORESTS 2026 17(卷), 4(期), (null页)
Under ongoing climate change and rapid urbanization, urban hydrothermal regimes are being reshaped, intensifying drought hazards and increasing stress on urban forests. Yet, systematic assessments of drought-induced stability dynamics of urban vegetation remain limited. We identified drought events across 330 Chinese cities during 2000-2022 and quantified vegetation resistance and resilience using multi-source remote sensing data. Pronounced latitudinal divergence emerged: high-latitude cities showed lower resistance but higher resilience, whereas low-latitude cities exhibited stronger resistance but weaker recovery. Across climatic zones, resistance was greater in humid and arid cities, whereas resilience was stronger in sub-humid and semi-arid cities, indicating a climate-dependent trade-off between disturbance buffering and recovery capacity. From 2000-2011 to 2012-2022, resistance increased significantly, whereas resilience declined. Seasonally, resistance was lowest and resilience highest in summer. Drought severity and climatic background-especially drought intensity and duration-primarily governed stability patterns: stronger droughts reduced resistance but enhanced recovery. Anthropogenic factors, including population density, economic development, and CO2 emissions, also played a significant role in shaping vegetation stability. These findings highlight the need for long-term drought monitoring and climate-specific urban forest management to strengthen ecosystem stability in rapidly urbanizing regions.