Climatic variability linkages with agroforestry adoption in Pakistan: a socio-ecological review

Climate change poses severe challenges to agriculture and forestry in Pakistan; a country uniquely vulnerable due to its arid climate, rapid urbanization, population expansion and limited forest cover. This review investigates the connections between climatic variability and agroforestry adoption, identifying both ecological stressors and sociocultural factors influencing land-use decisions. Rising greenhouse gas emissions, frequent extreme weather events and declining precipitation levels are contributing to reduced agricultural productivity and forest degradation. Long-term data analysis reveals that critical plantation periods now coincide with unprecedented temperature spikes, adversely affecting both crop and tree growth. In this context, agroforestry emerges as a viable strategy to mitigate climate-induced risks, enhance food security and stabilize rural livelihoods. However, despite its potential, Pakistan's agroforestry adoption rates remain low. This is primarily due to inadequate policy support, limited farmer awareness and institutional inertia. To address these challenges, the study applies the Theory of Planned Behavior (TPB) to evaluate the behavioral, normative and control beliefs that influence farmers' willingness to adopt agroforestry practices. The findings suggest that strengthening participatory extension systems, improving access to climate-resilient tree species and addressing farmers' socioeconomic concerns can significantly boost adoption rates. Furthermore, the study emphasizes the need for an integrated agro-ecological framework that aligns climate adaptation goals with local development priorities. Enhanced agroforestry adoption could play a transformative role in restoring degraded landscapes and supporting Pakistan's national commitments to sustainable development and climate resilience.