The sunk-cost fallacy in the National Basketball Association: evidence using player salary and playing time

2020
We analyze the effect of player salary, a sunk cost, on player utilization in the National Basketball Association (NBA). According to economic theory, rational agents make decisions based on marginal expected benefits and costs, and non-recoverable costs should not influence decision-making. Therefore, NBA teams should be playing their most productive players, regardless of salary. Whether decision-makers in the real world uphold this normative theory and ignore sunk costs has been the topic of much empirical work. Previous similar studies have looked at whether NBA teams irrationally escalate commitment to their highest drafted players by giving them more playing time than their performance warranted, coming to mixed conclusions. We build upon these studies by using salary to measure the impact of financial commitment on playing time, by using a fixed-effect panel data model to control for unobserved individual heterogeneity which may have been biasing previous results, and by using a spatial econometric model for a robust check of playing time dependence among players within each team. Our results indicate that a small but significant sunk-cost effect is found.
EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS
页码:1019-1036|卷号:59|期号:2
ISSN:0377-7332
来源机构
University of Guelph
收录类型
SSCI
发表日期
2020
学科领域
循证经济学
国家
加拿大
语种
英语
DOI
10.1007/s00181-019-01641-4
其他关键词
ESCALATING COMMITMENT; NBA; PSYCHOLOGY
EISSN
1435-8921
资助机构
Social Science and Humanities Research Council of CanadaSocial Sciences and Humanities Research Council of Canada (SSHRC) [435-2016-0340]
资助信息
We would like to thank two anonymous referees and the associated editor for their comments. Yiguo Sun would like to thank the financial support by the Social Science and Humanities Research Council of Canada Insightful Grant 435-2016-0340.
被引频次(WOS)
1
被引更新日期
2022-01
关键词
NBA Panel data model with fixed effects Performance statistics Playing time Salary SLX model Sunk-cost fallacy