Online Debiasing for Adaptively Collected High-Dimensional Data With Applications to Time Series Analysis

Adaptive collection of data is commonplace in applications throughout science and engineering. From the point of view of statistical inference, however, adaptive data collection induces memory and correlation in the samples, and poses significant challenge. We consider the high-dimensional linear regression, where the samples are collected adaptively, and the sample size n can be smaller than p, the number of covariates. In this setting, there are two distinct sources of bias: the first due to regularization imposed for consistent estimation, for example, using the LASSO, and the second due to adaptivity in collecting the samples. We propose online debiasing, a general procedure for estimators such as the LASSO, which addresses both sources of bias. In two concrete contexts (i) time series analysis and (ii) batched data collection, we demonstrate that online debiasing optimally debiases the LASSO estimate when the underlying parameter theta(0) has sparsity of order o(root n/log p). In this regime, the debiased estimator can be used to compute p-values and confidence intervals of optimal size.
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION
ISSN:0162-1459
收录类型
SSCI
学科领域
循证社会科学-方法
国家
美国
语种
英语
DOI
10.1080/01621459.2021.1979011
其他关键词
CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS; REGRESSION; DESIGN; THERAPY; MODELS
EISSN
1537-274X
资助机构
Google Faculty Research AwardGoogle Incorporated; Adobe Data Science Faculty Research Award; Sloan Research Fellowship in Mathematics; NSF CAREER AwardNational Science Foundation (NSF)NSF - Office of the Director (OD) [DMS-1844481]; Outlier Research in Business (iORB) grant from the USC Marshall School of Business
资助信息
A. Javanmard is partially supported by a Sloan Research Fellowship in Mathematics, a Google Faculty Research Award, an Adobe Data Science Faculty Research Award, an Outlier Research in Business (iORB) grant from the USC Marshall School of Business, and the NSF CAREER Award DMS-1844481.
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引更新日期
2022-01
来源机构
Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) University of Southern California
关键词
Bias Confidence intervals Hypothesis testing Lasso