Conditional political budget cycles: The role of time preference

Kyriacou, AP (通讯作者),Univ Girona, Dept Econ, Campus Montilivi, Girona 17071, Spain.
2022-3
We revisit work that has indicated that the presence and strength of political budget cycles depend on a range of conditioning factors. We point to the importance of voter time preference and argue that, in relatively poorer countries, high discount rates will lead impatient voters to value immediate consumption due to fiscal expansions over the future benefits from fiscally responsible policies. Consistent with this assertion, our empirical evidence, based on a sample of up to 67 low- and high-income countries over the period 1995 to 2016, indicates that budget cycles emerge in countries with a GDP per capita below a threshold of around 30,000 PPP-adjusted constant 2017 U.S. dollars. This goes beyond previous explanations of budget cycles based on voters with short memories who underestimate the costs of expansionary policies, voters with little experience with democracy or voters who are poorly informed about the competence or policy preferences of political candidates.
ECONOMICS & POLITICS
卷号:34|期号:1|页码:67-91
ISSN:0954-1985|收录类别:SSCI
语种
英语
来源机构
Universitat de Girona; Aoyama Gakuin University; Autonomous University of Barcelona
资助信息
KAKENHI, Grant/Award Number: 16K17130; Instituto de Estudios Fiscales; Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion, Grant/Award Number: PID2019-104723RB-I00; Generalitat de Catalunya, Grant/Award Number: 2017SGR0558 and 2017SGR1301; Institute of Economic Research (Hitotsubashi University)
被引频次(WOS)
1
被引频次(其他)
1
180天使用计数
0
2013以来使用计数
4
EISSN
1468-0343
出版年
2022-3
DOI
10.1111/ecpo.12187
学科领域
循证经济学
关键词
conditional effect economic development political budget cycles time preference
资助机构
KAKENHI(Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan (MEXT)Japan Society for the Promotion of ScienceGrants-in-Aid for Scientific Research (KAKENHI)) Instituto de Estudios Fiscales Ministerio de Ciencia e Innovacion(Ministry of Science and Innovation, Spain (MICINN)Instituto de Salud Carlos IIISpanish Government) Generalitat de Catalunya(Generalitat de Catalunya) Institute of Economic Research (Hitotsubashi University) Grants-in-Aid for Scientific Research(Ministry of Education, Culture, Sports, Science and Technology, Japan (MEXT)Japan Society for the Promotion of ScienceGrants-in-Aid for Scientific Research (KAKENHI))
WOS学科分类
Economics Political Science