Interpretable modeling and discovery of key predictors for pneumonia diagnosis in children based on electronic medical records

Yu, G (通讯作者),Zhejiang Univ, Childrens Hosp, Dept Data & Informat, Sch Med, 3333 Binsheng Rd, Hangzhou 310052, Peoples R China.;Yu, YZ (通讯作者),Deepwise Healthcare Artificial Intelligence Lab, 13th Floor,Bldg 2,Yard 2,Xisanhuan North Rd, Beijing, Peoples R China.
2022-10
Background Community-acquired pneumonia is one of the most common infectious diseases in children and is a leading cause of death among children under 5 years of age, resulting in high rates of antibiotic usage and hospitalization. It is of extremely practical significance to make full use of the existing electronic medical records to study pneumonia and to establish automatic diagnosis models for pneumonia. Methods We established pneumonia diagnosis models of Bayesian network using a total of 13,448 electronic medical records. We investigated learning network structure and parameter estimation and evaluated different structure learning strategies and various modeling methods. By identifying the key predictors of model, the pneumonia status was analyzed. Results The performance of the proposed Bayesian network was evaluated using a set of 3361 cases with a precision of 0.7861, a recall of 0.9889, and an F1-score of 0.8759. On an independent external validation set containing 4925 cases, Bayesian network achieved a precision of 0.7382, a recall of 0.9947, and an F1-score of 0.8475. Our proposed Bayesian network outperformed all other methods, including CatBoost, XGBoost, LightGBM, logistic regression, and ridge classification. Conclusion The appropriate feature selection improved the performance of Bayesian networks. The proposed Bayesian network had good generalizability and could be directly applied to clinical research centers. And the key predictors identified by the network demonstrated good clinical interpretability, allowing for a better understanding of pneumonia status and complications. This study had important clinical value and practical significance for the research and diagnosis of pediatric pneumonia.
DIGITAL HEALTH
卷号:8
ISSN:2055-2076|收录类别:SCIE
语种
英语
来源机构
Zhejiang University; Zhejiang University; Zhejiang University
资助信息
The authors disclosed receipt of the following financial support for the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: This study was supported in part by grants from the National Key Research & Development Program (grant number 2019YFE0126200), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number 62076218), the Zhejiang Province Research Project of Public Welfare Technology Application (grant number LGF22H180004), and the Hong Kong Research Grants Council through General Research Fund (grant number 17207722).
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
7
2013以来使用计数
7
出版年
2022-10
DOI
10.1177/20552076221131185
学科领域
循证公共卫生
关键词
pneumonia diagnosis interpretable modeling knowledge discovery Bayesian networks electronic medical records
资助机构
National Key Research & Development Program National Natural Science Foundation of China(National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)) Zhejiang Province Research Project of Public Welfare Technology Application Hong Kong Research Grants Council through General Research Fund
WOS学科分类
Health Care Sciences & Services Health Policy & Services Public, Environmental & Occupational Health Medical Informatics