Meteorological Factors Affecting Infectious Diarrhea in Different Climate Zones of China

Lei, H; Yang, SG (通讯作者),Zhejiang Univ, Sch Med, Sch Publ Hlth, Hangzhou 310058, Peoples R China.;Yang, SG (通讯作者),Zhejiang Univ, State Key Lab Diag & Treatment Infect Dis, Collaborat Innovat Ctr Diag & Treatment Infect Di, Affiliated Hosp 1,Coll Med, Hangzhou 310003, Peoples R China.
2022-9
Meteorological factors and the increase in extreme weather events are closely related to the incidence rate of infectious diarrhea. However, few studies have explored whether the impact of the same meteorological factors on the incidence rate of infectious diarrhea in different climate regions has changed and quantified these changes. In this study, the time series fixed-effect Poisson regression model guided by climate was used to quantify the relationships between the incidence rate of various types of infectious diarrhea and meteorological factors in different climate regions of China from 2004 to 2018, with a lag of 0-2 months. In addition, six social factors, including per capita Gross Domestic Product (GDP), population density, number of doctors per 1000 people, proportion of urbanized population, proportion of children aged 0-14 years old, and proportion of elderly over 65 years old, were included in the model for confounding control. Additionally, the intercept of each province in each model was analyzed by a meta-analysis. Four climate regions were considered in this study: tropical monsoon areas, subtropical monsoon areas, temperate areas and alpine plateau areas. The results indicate that the influence of meteorological factors and extreme weather in different climate regions on diverse infectious diarrhea types is distinct. In general, temperature was positively correlated with all infectious diarrhea cases (0.2 <= r <= 0.6, p < 0.05). After extreme rainfall, the incidence rate of dysentery in alpine plateau area in one month would be reduced by 18.7% (95% confidence interval (CI): -27.8--9.6%). Two months after the period of extreme sunshine duration happened, the incidence of dysentery in the alpine plateau area would increase by 21.9% (95% CI: 15.4-28.4%) in that month, and the incidence rate of typhoid and paratyphoid in the temperate region would increase by 17.2% (95% CI: 15.5-18.9%) in that month. The meta-analysis showed that there is no consistency between different provinces in the same climate region. Our study indicated that meteorological factors and extreme weather in different climate areas had different effects on various types of infectious diarrhea, particularly extreme rainfall and extreme sunshine duration, which will help the government develop disease-specific and location-specific interventions, especially after the occurrence of extreme weather.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
卷号:19|期号:18
收录类别:SCIE
语种
英语
来源机构
Zhejiang University; Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis & Treatment of Infectious Diseases; Zhejiang University
资助信息
This study was supported by grants from the National Natural Science Foundation of China (grant number: 82173577, 81672005, U1611264, 81001271) and the Mega-Project of National Science and Technology for the 12th and 13th Five-Year Plan of China (grant number: 2018ZX10715-014-002 and 2014ZX10004008).
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
7
2013以来使用计数
7
EISSN
1660-4601
出版年
2022-9
DOI
10.3390/ijerph191811511
学科领域
循证公共卫生
关键词
infectious diarrhea meteorological factors fixed-effect model Poisson regression incidence
资助机构
National Natural Science Foundation of China(National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)) Mega-Project of National Science and Technology for the 12th and 13th Five-Year Plan of China
WOS学科分类
Environmental Sciences Public, Environmental & Occupational Health