Manpower forecasting models in the construction industry: a systematic review

Siu, MFF (通讯作者),Hong Kong Polytech Univ, Dept Bldg & Real Estate, Hong Kong, Peoples R China.
2022-8-16
Purpose This paper aims to make a systematic review of the manpower prediction model of the construction industry. It aims to determine the forecasting model's development trend, analyse the use limitations and applicable conditions of each forecasting model and then identify the impact indicators of the human resource forecasting model from an economic point of view. It is hoped that this study will provide insights into the selection of forecasting models for governments and groups that are dealing with human resource forecasts. Design/methodology/approach The common search engine, Scopus, was used to retrieve construction manpower forecast-related articles for this review. Keywords such as construction, building, labour, manpower were searched. Papers that not related to the manpower prediction model of the construction industry were excluded. A total of 27 articles were obtained and rated according to the publication time, author and organisation of the article. The prediction model used in the selected paper was analysed. Findings The number of papers focussing on the prediction of manpower in the construction industry is on the rise. Hong Kong is the region with the largest number of published papers. Different methods have different requirements for the quality of historical data. Most forecasting methods are not suitable for sudden changes in the labour market. This paper also finds that the construction output is the economic indicator with the most significant influence on the forecasting model. Research limitations/implications The research results discuss the problem that the prediction results are not accurate due to the sudden change of data in the current prediction model. Besides, the study results take stock of the published literature and can provide an overall understanding of the forecasting methods of human resources in the construction industry. Practical implications Through this study, decision-makers can choose a reasonable prediction model according to their situation. Decision-makers can make clear plans for future construction projects specifically when there are changes in the labour market caused by emergencies. Also, this study can help decision-makers understand the current research trend of human resources forecasting models. Originality/value Although the human resource prediction model's effectiveness in the construction industry is affected by the dynamic change of data, the research results show that it is expected to solve the problem using artificial intelligence. No one has researched this area, and it is expected to become the focus of research in the future.
ENGINEERING CONSTRUCTION AND ARCHITECTURAL MANAGEMENT
卷号:29|期号:8|页码:3137-3156
ISSN:0969-9988|收录类别:SCIE
语种
英语
来源机构
Chang'an University; Hong Kong Polytechnic University
资助信息
The authors gratefully acknowledge the Development Bureau of the Government (Contract No. WQ/088/17) of Hong Kong (SAR) and Research Grants Council GRF (F-PP6M) of Hong Kong (SAR) for providing the funding enabling the commissioning of this study.
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
12
2013以来使用计数
46
EISSN
1365-232X
出版年
2022-8-16
DOI
10.1108/ECAM-05-2020-0351
学科领域
循证管理学
关键词
Construction Manpower planning Forecasting model Project management
资助机构
Development Bureau of the Government of Hong Kong (SAR) Research Grants Council GRF of Hong Kong (SAR)
WOS学科分类
Engineering, Industrial Engineering, Civil Management