Testing for the omission of relevant variables and regime-switching misspecification

2019
This article shows that the interpretation of statistical evidence of regime-switching is not unambiguous. The usual interpretation is that some parameters switch according to the values of a predefined latent variable. An alternative interpretation is that regime-switching, as a statistical evidence, is also possible when the linear model is underspecified and the omitted variable bias emerges. A formal test is proposed to verify a potentially spurious regression with regime-switching. Through this test, it is evident that regime-switching estimates presented in an academic paper, should be interpreted as a consequence of the misspecification considered here.
EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS
页码:775-796|卷号:56|期号:3
ISSN:0377-7332
来源机构
University of Munster
收录类型
SSCI
发表日期
2019
学科领域
循证经济学
国家
德国
语种
英语
DOI
10.1007/s00181-017-1373-8
其他关键词
TIME-SERIES
EISSN
1435-8921
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引更新日期
2022-01
关键词
Regime-switching estimator Omitted variable bias Quadratic form Misspecification