Building Bayesian networks based on DEMATEL for multiple criteria decision problems: A supplier selection case study

2019
Bayesian Networks (BNs) are effective tools for providing decision support based on expert knowledge in uncertain and complex environments. However, building knowledge-based BNs is still a difficult task that lacks systematic and widely accepted methodologies, especially when knowledge is elicited from multiple experts. We propose a novel method that systematically integrates a widely used Multi Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) approach called Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) in BN construction. Our method elicits causal knowledge from multiple experts based on DEMATEL and transforms it to a BN structure. It then parameterizes the BN by using ranked nodes and evaluates its robustness and consistency by using sensitivity analysis. The proposed method provides a practical and generic way to build probabilistic decision support models by systematically exploiting expert knowledge. Suitable applications of this method include decision problems with multiple criteria, high uncertainty and limited data. We illustrate our method by applying it to a supplier selection case study in a large automobile manufacturer in Turkey. (C) 2019 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
EXPERT SYSTEMS WITH APPLICATIONS
页码:234-248|卷号:134
ISSN:0957-4174
来源机构
Hacettepe University
收录类型
SSCI
发表日期
2019
学科领域
循证管理学
国家
土耳其
语种
英语
DOI
10.1016/j.eswa.2019.05.053
其他关键词
FUZZY DEMATEL; TOTAL-COST; OWNERSHIP; TOPSIS
EISSN
1873-6793
被引频次(WOS)
32
被引更新日期
2022-01
关键词
Bayesian networks DEMATEL Multiple criteria decision making Supplier selection