Analysis of Longitudinal Multivariate Outcome Data From Couples Cohort Studies: Application to HPV Transmission Dynamics

2015
We consider a specific situation of correlated data where multiple outcomes are repeatedly measured on each member of a couple. Such multivariate longitudinal data from couples may exhibit multi-faceted correlations that can be further complicated if there are polygamous partnerships. An example is data from cohort studies on human papillomavirus (HPV) transmission dynamics in heterosexual couples. HPV is a common sexually transmitted disease with 14 known oncogenic types causing anogenital cancers. The binary outcomes on the multiple types measured in couples over time may introduce inter-type, intra-couple, and temporal correlations. Simple analysis using generalized estimating equations or random effects models lacks interpretability and cannot fully use the available information. We developed a hybrid modeling strategy using Markov transition models together with pairwise composite likelihood for analyzing such data. The method can be used to identify risk factors associated with HPV transmission and persistence, estimate difference in risks between male-to-female and female-to-male HPV transmission, compare type-specific transmission risks within couples, and characterize the inter-type and intra-couple associations. Applying the method to HPV couple data collected in a Ugandan male circumcision (MC) trial, we assessed the effect of MC and the role of gender on risks of HPV transmission and persistence. Supplementary materials for this article are available online.
JOURNAL OF THE AMERICAN STATISTICAL ASSOCIATION
页码:472-485|卷号:110|期号:510
ISSN:0162-1459
收录类型
SSCI
发表日期
2015
学科领域
循证社会科学-方法
国家
美国
语种
英语
DOI
10.1080/01621459.2014.991394
其他关键词
HUMAN-PAPILLOMAVIRUS INFECTIONS; COMPOSITE LIKELIHOOD APPROACH; LOGISTIC-REGRESSION; MALE CIRCUMCISION; BINARY DATA; VIRAL LOAD; SEXUAL TRANSMISSIBILITY; NATURAL-HISTORY; MODELS; WOMEN
EISSN
1537-274X
资助机构
NIH National Institute of Allergy and Infectious DiseasesUnited States Department of Health & Human ServicesNational Institutes of Health (NIH) - USANIH National Institute of Allergy & Infectious Diseases (NIAID) [K25AI114461]; Center for Global Health of Johns Hopkins University; Center for AIDS Research (CFAR) of Johns Hopkins University; NATIONAL INSTITUTE OF ALLERGY AND INFECTIOUS DISEASESUnited States Department of Health & Human ServicesNational Institutes of Health (NIH) - USANIH National Institute of Allergy & Infectious Diseases (NIAID) [P30AI094189, K25AI114461] Funding Source: NIH RePORTER
资助信息
This work was partially supported by grant K25AI114461 from the NIH National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, by a faculty grant from the Center for Global Health of Johns Hopkins University, and by an International Scholar Award from the Center for AIDS Research (CFAR) of Johns Hopkins University.
被引频次(WOS)
3
被引更新日期
2022-01
来源机构
Johns Hopkins University Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Johns Hopkins University Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health Johns Hopkins University Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health
关键词
Alternating logistic regression Clustered binary data Composite likelihood Markov transition model Pairwise likelihood