From Data to Causes I: Building A General Cross-Lagged Panel Model (GCLM)

2020
This is the first paper in a series of two that synthesizes, compares, and extends methods for causal inference with longitudinal panel data in a structural equation modeling (SEM) framework. Starting with a cross-lagged approach, this paper builds a general cross-lagged panel model (GCLM) with parameters to account for stable factors while increasing the range of dynamic processes that can be modeled. We illustrate the GCLM by examining the relationship between national income and subjective well-being (SWB), showing how to examine hypotheses about short-run (via Granger-Sims tests) versus long-run effects (via impulse responses). When controlling for stable factors, we find no short-run or long-run effects among these variables, showing national SWB to be relatively stable, whereas income is less so. Our second paper addresses the differences between the GCLM and other methods. Online Supplementary Materials offer an Excel file automating GCLM input for Mplus (with an example also for Lavaan in R) and analyses using additional data sets and all program input/output. We also offer an introductory GCLM presentation at. We conclude with a discussion of issues surrounding causal inference.
ORGANIZATIONAL RESEARCH METHODS
页码:651-687|卷号:23|期号:4
ISSN:1094-4281
收录类型
SSCI
发表日期
2020
学科领域
循证经济学
国家
澳大利亚
语种
英语
DOI
10.1177/1094428119847278
其他关键词
MACROECONOMIC TIME-SERIES; RANDOMIZED CONTROLLED-TRIALS; LONG-RUN CAUSALITY; WITHIN-PERSON; BETWEEN-PERSON; REGIME SHIFTS; CONFIDENCE-INTERVALS; MAXIMUM-LIKELIHOOD; LIFE SATISFACTION; GRANGER-CAUSALITY
EISSN
1552-7425
被引频次(WOS)
54
被引更新日期
2022-01
来源机构
University of Melbourne University of Pennsylvania Purdue University System Purdue University Purdue University West Lafayette Campus Humboldt University of Berlin Max Planck Society Vanderbilt University Arizona State University Arizona State University-Tempe Utrecht University ESSEC Business School University of Stirling University of Melbourne Utah System of Higher Education University of Utah University of Virginia
关键词
panel data model cross-lagged panel model causal inference Granger causality structural equation model vector autoregressive VAR model autoregression moving average ARMA VARMA panel VAR