Global and national influenza-associated hospitalisation rates: Estimates for 40 countries and administrative regions

Paget, J (通讯作者),Inst Hlth Serv Res Nivel, Netherlands Nivel,Otterstraat 118-124, NL-3513 CR Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands.
2023
Background WHO estimates that seasonal influenza epidemics result in three to five million cases of severe illness (hospitalisations) every year. We aimed to improve the understanding of influenza-associated hospitalisation estimates at a national and global level.Methods We performed a systematic literature review of English-and Chi-nese-language studies published between 1995 and 2020 estimating influen-za-associated hospitalisation. We included a total of 127 studies (seven in Chi-nese) in the meta-analysis and analyzed their data using a logit-logistic regression model to understand the influence of five study factors and produce national and global estimates by age groups. The five study factors assessed were: 1) the method used to calculate the influenza-associated hospitalisation estimates (rate-or time series regression-based), 2) the outcome measure (divided into three en-velopes: narrow, medium, or wide), 3) whether every case was laboratory-con-firmed or not, 4) whether the estimates were national or sub-national, 5) whether the rates were based on a single year or multiple years.Results The overall pooled influenza-associated hospitalisation rate was 40.1 (95% confidence interval (CI) = 23.3-69.1) per 100 000 persons, with rates vary-ing substantially by age: 137.8 (95% CI = 70.6-268.7) in children aged 0-4 years and 71.6 (95% CI = 39.9-127.7) in the elderly aged >65 years. The overall pooled hospitalisation rates varied by calculation method; for all ages, the rates were sig-nificantly higher when they were based on rate-based methods or calculated on a single season and significantly lower when cases were laboratory-confirmed. The national hospitalisation rates (all ages) varied considerably, ranging from 11.7 (95% CI = 3.8-36.3) per 100 000 in New Zealand to 122.1 (95% CI = 41.5-358.4) per 100 000 in India (all age estimates).Conclusions Using the pooled global influenza-associated hospitalisation rate, we estimate that seasonal influenza epidemics result in 3.2 million cases of se-vere illness (hospitalisations) per annum. More extensive analyses are required to assess the influence of other factors on the estimates (e.g. vaccination and dom-inant virus (sub)types) and efforts to harmonize the methods should be encour-aged. Our study highlights the high rates of influenza-associated hospitalisations in children aged 0-4 years and the elderly aged 65+ years.
JOURNAL OF GLOBAL HEALTH
卷号:13
ISSN:2047-2978|收录类别:SCIE
语种
英语
来源机构
Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research; Nanjing Medical University; University of Edinburgh; Institute for Health Metrics & Evaluation; University of Washington; University of Washington Seattle; National Institutes of Health (NIH) - USA; NIH Fogarty International Center (FIC); Netherlands Institute for Health Services Research
资助机构
Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology
资助信息
Funding: The BIRD project was supported by a grant from the Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology. The funding source for this project was not involved in the study design, data extraction and analysis, interpretation of results or drafting of the manuscript. Sandra S Chaves and C?dric Mah? contributed to the interpretation of results and writing up of the manuscript and report as members of the Foundation for Influenza Epidemiology.
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
0
2013以来使用计数
0
EISSN
2047-2986
出版年
2023
DOI
10.7189/jogh.13.04003
WOS学科分类
Public, Environmental & Occupational Health
学科领域
循证公共卫生