Can Regional Eco-Efficiency Forecast the Changes in Local Public Health: Evidence Based on Statistical Learning in China

Ma, ZA (通讯作者),Chongqing Normal Univ, Coll Life Sci, Chongqing 401331, Peoples R China.
2023-1
Regional eco-efficiency affects local public health through intermediaries such as economic and environmental impacts. Considering multiple factors, the implicit and uncertain relationship with regional characteristics, and the limited data availability, this paper investigated the forecasting of changes in local public health-including the number of visits to hospitals (VTH), outpatients with emergency treatment (OWET), number of inpatients (NI), number of health examinations (NOHE), and patients discharged (PD)-using calculated regional eco-efficiency with the Least Square-Support Vector Machine-Forecasting Model and acquired empirical evidence, utilizing the province-level data in China. Results: (1) regional eco-efficiency is a good predictor in both a single and multi-factor situation; (2) the prediction accuracy for five dimensions of the changes in local public health was relatively high, and the volatility was lower and more stable throughout the whole forecasting period; and (3) regional heterogeneity, denoted by three economic and demographic factors and three medical supply and technical level factors, improved the forecasting performance. The findings are meaningful for provincial-level decision-makers in China in order for them to know the current status or trends of medical needs, optimize the allocation of medical resources in advance, and enable ample time to tackle urgent emergencies, and, finally, the findings can serve to evaluate the social effects of improving regional eco-efficiency via local enterprises or individuals and adopting sustainable development strategies.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
卷号:20|期号:2
收录类别:SCIE
语种
英语
来源机构
Chongqing Normal University; Chongqing Normal University; University of Illinois System; University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign; Chongqing Normal University
资助信息
This research was funded by the Chongqing Social Science Planning Doctor and Cultivation Project (2020PY41) and the Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant No. 71671019; the Chongqing Basic Research and Frontier Exploration Project of 2019 (Chongqing Natural Science Foundation), grant No. cstc2019jcyj-msxmX0592; the Science and Technology Research Project of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission, grant No. KJQN201900503; and the Chongqing Normal University Ph.D. Startup Fund Project, grant No. 19XLB001.
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
2
2013以来使用计数
2
EISSN
1660-4601
出版年
2023-1
DOI
10.3390/ijerph20021381
学科领域
循证公共卫生
关键词
the changes in local public health forecasting multiple factors regional characteristics statistical learning regional eco-efficiency
资助机构
Chongqing Social Science Planning Doctor and Cultivation Project National Natural Science Foundation of China(National Natural Science Foundation of China (NSFC)) Science and Technology Research Project of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission Chongqing Normal University Chongqing Basic Research and Frontier Exploration Project of 2019 (Chongqing Natural Science Foundation)
WOS学科分类
Environmental Sciences Public, Environmental & Occupational Health