What's (successful) extrapolation?

Khosrowi, D (通讯作者),Leibniz Univ Hannover, Inst Philosophy, D-30167 Hannover, Germany.
2022-4-3
Extrapolating causal effects is becoming an increasingly important kind of inference in Evidence-Based Policy, development economics, and microeconometrics more generally. While several strategies have been proposed to aid with extrapolation, the existing methodological literature has left our understanding of what extrapolation consists of and what constitutes successful extrapolation underdeveloped. This paper addresses this lack in understanding by offering a novel account of successful extrapolation. Building on existing contributions pertaining to the challenges involved in extrapolation, this more nuanced and comprehensive account seeks to provide tools that facilitate the scrutiny of specific extrapolative inferences and general strategies for extrapolation. Offering such resources is important especially in view of the increasing amounts of real-world decision-making in policy, development, and beyond that involve extrapolation.
JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC METHODOLOGY
卷号:29|期号:2|页码:140-152
ISSN:1350-178X|收录类别:SSCI
语种
英语
来源机构
Leibniz University Hannover
资助信息
This work was supported by AHRC Northern Bridge Doctoral Studentship: [Grant Number AH/L503927/1]; Royal Institute of Philosophy Jacobsen Studentship; and Durham Doctoral Studentship.
被引频次(WOS)
1
被引频次(其他)
1
180天使用计数
1
2013以来使用计数
2
EISSN
1469-9427
出版年
2022-4-3
DOI
10.1080/1350178X.2021.1952290
WOS学科分类
Economics
学科领域
循证经济学
关键词
Extrapolation causal inference extrapolator's circle Evidence-Based Policy development economics
资助机构
AHRC Northern Bridge Doctoral Studentship Royal Institute of Philosophy Jacobsen Studentship Durham Doctoral Studentship