The lead-crime hypothesis: A meta-analysis

Higney, A (通讯作者),Univ Stirling, Div Econ, Stirling, Scotland.
2022-11
Does lead pollution increase crime? We perform the first meta-analysis of the effect of lead on crime, pooling 542 estimates from 24 studies. The effect of lead is overstated in the literature due to publication bias. Our main estimates of the mean effect sizes are a partial correlation of 0.16, and an elasticity of 0.09. Our estimates suggest the abatement of lead pollution may be responsible for 7-28% of the fall in homicide in the US. Given the historically higher urban lead levels, reduced lead pollution accounted for 6-20% of the convergence in US urban and rural crime rates. Lead increases crime, but does not explain the majority of the fall in crime observed in some countries in the 20th century. Additional explanations are needed.
REGIONAL SCIENCE AND URBAN ECONOMICS
卷号:97
ISSN:0166-0462|收录类别:SSCI
语种
英语
来源机构
University of Stirling; University of Glasgow
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
43
2013以来使用计数
43
EISSN
1879-2308
出版年
2022-11
DOI
10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2022.103826
关键词
Meta-analysis Publication selection bias Pollution Lead Crime
WOS学科分类
Economics Environmental Studies Urban Studies
学科领域
循证经济学 循证社会学