The effect of Eurosystem asset purchase programmes on euro area sovereign bond yields during the COVID-19 pandemic

Hondroyiannis, G (通讯作者),Bank Greece, 21 E Venizelos Ave, Athens 10250, Greece.;Hondroyiannis, G (通讯作者),Harokopio Univ, Kallithea Athens, Greece.
2022-12
We investigate the effect of Eurosystem asset purchase programmes (APP) on the monthly yields of 10-year sovereign bonds for 11 euro area sovereigns during January-December 2020. The analysis is based on time-varying coefficient methods applied to monthly panel data covering the period 2004m09-2020m12. During 2020, APP contributed to an average decline in yields estimated in the range of 58-76 bps. In December 2020, the effect per EUR trillion ranged between 34 bps in Germany and 159 bps in Greece. Stronger effects generally display diminishing returns. Our findings suggest that a sharp decline in the size of the APP in the aftermath of the COVID-19 crisis could lead to very sharp increases in bond yields, particularly in peripheral countries. The analysis additionally reveals a differential response to global risks between core and peripheral countries, with the former enjoying safe-haven benefits. Markets' perceptions of risk are found to be significantly affected by credit ratings, which is in line with recent evidence based on constant parameter methods.
EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS
卷号:63|期号:6|页码:2997-3026
ISSN:0377-7332|收录类别:SSCI
语种
英语
来源机构
European Central Bank; Bank of Greece; Harokopio University Athens
被引频次(WOS)
0
被引频次(其他)
0
180天使用计数
1
2013以来使用计数
3
EISSN
1435-8921
出版年
2022-12
DOI
10.1007/s00181-022-02225-5
关键词
Euro area Asset purchase programmes Sovereign bond yields Time-varying parameters
WOS学科分类
Economics Social Sciences, Mathematical Methods
学科领域
循证经济学 循证社会科学-综合