A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis of Dengue Risk with Temperature Change

Liu, QY (通讯作者),China CDC, State Key Lab Infect Dis Prevent & Control, Natl Inst Communicable Dis Control & Prevent, 155 Changbai Rd, Beijing 102206, Peoples R China.
2015
Dengue fever (DF) is the most serious mosquito-borne viral disease in the world and is significantly affected by temperature. Although associations between DF and temperatures have been reported repeatedly, conclusions have been inconsistent. Six databases were searched up to 23 March 2014, without language and geographical restrictions. The articles that studied the correlations between temperatures and dengue were selected, and a random-effects model was used to calculate the pooled odds ratio and 95% confidence intervals. Of 1589 identified articles, 137 were reviewed further, with 33 satisfying inclusion criteria. The closest associations were observed between mean temperature from the included studies (23.2-27.7 degrees C) and DF (OR 35.0% per 1 degrees C; 95% CI 18.3%-51.6%) positively. Additionally, minimum (18.1-24.2 degrees C) (29.5% per 1 degrees C; 20.9%-38.1%) and maximum temperature (28.0-34.5 degrees C) (28.9%; 10.3%-47.5%) were also associated with increased dengue transmission. The OR of DF incidence increased steeply from 22 degrees C to 29 degrees C, suggesting an inflexion of DF risk between these lower and upper limits of DF risk. This discovery is helpful for government decision-makers focused on preventing and controlling dengue in areas with temperatures within this range.
INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH
卷号:12|期号:1|页码:1-15
ISSN:1660-4601|收录类别:SCIE
DOI
10.3390/ijerph120100001
来源机构
Lanzhou University; Lanzhou University; Chinese Center for Disease Control & Prevention; National Institute for Communicable Disease Control & Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control & Prevention; Collaborative Innovation Center for Diagnosis & Treatment of Infectious Diseases
出版年
2015
资助信息
This study was supported by the National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) (Grant No. 2012CB955504). We thank Jinhui Tian and Yaolong Chen from Evidence-Based Medicine Center, School of Basic Medical Sciences, Lanzhou University, for their valuable comments on the manuscript.
资助机构
National Basic Research Program of China (973 Program) [2012CB955504]
语种
英语
被引频次(WOS)
32
180天使用计数
1
2013以来使用计数
55
被引更新日期
2023-02-19
关联机构
兰州大学循证社会科学中心
关键词
dengue fever (DF) temperature correlation odds ratio (OR) systematic review meta-analysis
WOS学科分类
Environmental Sciences Public, Environmental & Occupational Health